July 27, 2008

Technology in Education: The Boom Is Behind Us
by Michael Molenda and Michael Sullivan
The year 2000 was a watershed year for in structional technology as devices became ubiquitous in schools and colleges, and many dreamed that education would truly be transformed. Instead, the economy faltered and companies offering free computers and free software disappeared along with companies offering free delivery of their free lunch. As if joining a parade, schools cut back their high-tech investments, signaling their all-too-familiar budget struggles. Many universities scaled back their distance education business plans to stanch the flow of red ink.
In all sectors of education, signals appeared indicating that the seemingly unending upward curve of computer-based technology adoption was hitting a plateau. This suggests that we may actually be seeing the end of the growth curve for information technology in education. This should not be surprising, but it always seems to come as a shock to the new-media enthusiasts of each generation, who say: Pretty soon, all lectures will be replaced by radio . . . no, television . . . no, teaching machines . . . no, computers . . .
Of
course, education often reflects the greater society, and trends were not
that positive for society as a whole. Total expenditures for telecommunications
actually decreased from $860 billion in the first quarter of 2000 to
$837 billion in the first quarter of 2001 (Intelect, 2001a). In addition,
expenditures for PCs and peripherals experienced a similar decrease, from
$20 billion in the first quarter of 2000 to $16 billion in the first quarter
of 2001 (Intelect, 2001b). In fact, PC sales actually declined for the first
time in the Information Age, predicted to sink 6 percent from 2000 to 2001
(Ewalt, 2001, June 8).
It has long been predicted that DVD drives would replace CD-ROM drives in computers and that the DVD would become the medium of choice for educational materials. Certainly DVD sales have increased, but virtually all of the sales have been for entertainment products. At the same time, CD-ROM sales have fallen. In that most new DVD drives will support CD-ROMs, there is no particular technology-based reason for this fall-off. What is becoming increasingly obvious is that the Internet is diluting the demand for off-the-shelf media. Consumers and suppliers are beginning to view software as a service rather than a product.
On the other hand, the long predicted demise of the textbook has not yet occurred. More e-textbooks are being published, with a tenfold increase in titles published between 2000 and 2001. But market demand remains weak. Hardware is one problem: there is not yet an accepted standard for a compact reader, and students resist textbooks that tie them to their computers. Software is another problem: again, standards are lacking and users have difficulty accessing materials and navigating within the e-books. Further, most e-textbooks do not yet incorporate the multimedia features, such as animation, that would make them qualitatively superior to printed texts (Blumenstyk, 2001).
The onset of virtual schools is another prediction that has not come true. This movement has had no noticeable impact on the predominance of traditional public schools. To date, as many public efforts as private ones have been established to serve this still emerging market. Schools themselves have not rushed to install technology-based instructional systems, and home-schoolers have proven an elusive market.
As has occurred throughout the history of education, new technological developments suggest ways to reorganize the delivery of education to become more cost-effective. School and college faculty have traditionally resisted such reorganization when it threatens their core values or basic work processes. That cycle is being repeated with the growth of interest in Internet-based delivery. An example at the K12 level is the Virtual High School (VHS), a project funded by the U.S. Department of Education to provide online courses and assess their effectiveness. The VHS set a number of quality criteria, including that all participating teachers must complete a 26-week online professional development course to prepare them to develop an online course. They also require close monitoring of students and small class size. VHS is now working with the National Education Association on criteria for judging quality of courses. These criteria will, of course, include student/ teacher ratios and teacher qualifications (Electronic Education Report, 2001, June 6). All these requirements tend to reinforce existing patterns of staffing and compensation, causing overall costs to increase at a time when costs are already increasing at rates greater than inflation.
The federal government has a National Educational Technology Plan (U.S. Department of Education, 2000), the first goal of which is to make access to technology universal; the second of which is that [a]ll teachers will use technology effectively to help students achieve high academic standards. The plan itself seems to intend this to mean the design and use of rich learning environments. Unfortunately, in practice, the concept of high academic standards is often interpreted in terms of content mastery, which is translated as performance on standardized tests. As states implement plans to enforce standards, the emphasis on standardized testing increases. Among educators this trend is largely regarded as perniciousas teaching to the testwhich tends to suck the life out of lessons. To the extent that technology use is associated with teaching to the test, it will suffer the disdain of a large segment of educators.
K12 Education
Overall, some $10 billion is spent annually on instructional materials used in schools. A hidden factor in this figure is that teachers themselves spend about 13 percent of that amount from their own private funds. A recent estimate is that teachers spend $437 per year of their personal funds to buy materials for their classes (Hance, 2001, January).
The
popular measure of success for technology in schools has become Internet access.
By the fall of 2000, 98 percent of all U.S. public schools were connected
to the Internet (Cattagni & Westat, 2001). Similarly, virtually all schools
have some computers on the premises. Victory has been declared.
On the other hand, spending for instructional technology in U.S. schools actually dropped from $6.7 billion in 199899 to $5.6 billion in 19992000 (Quality Education Data, 2001) while overall expenditures for education grew during this same period. E-rate reimbursements and other federal and state programs provided a substantial share of these billions, which leads to the inference that state and local commitments to instructional technology are fairly shallow.
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References
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Becker, H. J., and Riel, M. M. (2000). Teacher Professional Engagement and Constructivist-Compatible Computer Use. Irvine, CA: Center for Research on Information Technology and Organizations, University of California, Irvine and University of Minnesota. Blumenstyk, G. (2001, May 18). Publishers Promote E-textbooks, but Many Students and Professors are Skeptical. Chronicle of Higher Education, A35-A36. Cattagni, A., and Westat, E.F. (2001). Internet Access in U.S. Public Schools and Classrooms: 1994-2000. NCES 2001-071. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. CEO Forum. (2001). Technology Must Be Included in Comprehensive Education Legislation. Washington, DC: CEO Forum on Education and Technology. Education Week. (2001, May 10). Technology Counts 2001: The New Divides. Education Week 20:35. Electronic Education Report. (2001, May 23). Financial Briefs. Electronic Education Report 8:10, 8. Electronic Education Report. (2001, June 6). NEA Working on Criteria That Will Judge Quality of Online Learning. Electronic Education Report 8:11, 3. Electronic School. (2001, June). Teachers Aren’t Using the Internet, Survey Finds. Electronic School, 10-11. Ewalt, D. M. (2001, June 8). PC Industry’s First Decline Predicted.
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Hoch, F. (2001, May). Trends 2000 Wrapup. Upgrade, 11. Human Perspectives. (2001, May). The 25 Most Popular Children’s
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Of
course, there are still vendors supplying software for lease or purchase.
The consolidation movement has continued, and a very few large conglomerates
control much of the instructional content business. But few of the software
companies report being profitable. For example, Riverdeep Interactive Learning,
American Education, Heartsoft Inc., and Lightspan all reported net losses,
ranging from a quarter million to 18 million dollars, in the first quarter
of 2001 (Electronic Education Report 2001, May 23). The entire educational
software market shriveled by over 22 percent in one year and is now a rather
paltry $454.6 million. The K12 institutional market is certainly a very
small part of this.
Conclusions
What is becoming clear is that we are experiencing déjà vu regarding educators’ responses to today’s new media, comparable to the patterns of previous media, such as film, radio, and television. The new medium emerges with great fanfare. Public pressure builds to employ it in education. Schools and colleges acquire the hardware needed to enter the game. Software lags behind. Instructor adoption lags even further behind, eventually grows to substantial proportions before plateauing, but never reaches the levels predicted by the cheerleaders.
We know that hardware penetration is a necessary, but not sufficient, condition for productive use of technology in instruction. The key stakeholders decide how quickly and to what extent new technologies are adopted. We know that different stakeholders move at different rates in the various public and private sectors. Their decisions depend greatly on their perception of the personal advantage offered by the new technology as well as their organizations’ demands on them to find ways of making their practice more productive.
| This article is adapted from one to be published by the authors in Educational Media and Technology Yearbook 2002: Volume 27; M. A. Fitzgerald, Editor (Englewood, CO: Libraries Unlimited). |